Implosion StockBricks & MortarCalifornia Daydreamin'CanadaIimoto kunye neeloriIzindlu zorhweboIinkampani kunye neeMarikeAbathengiI-Credit BubbleAmandlaIingxaki zaseYurophuI-Federal ReserveIzindluI-Bubble 2Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokwehla kwexabisoImisebenziUrhweboUthutho
Oku kwaqhubeka kangangeenyanga eziliqela: Amaxabiso eemoto ezisetyenzisiweyo anyuke kakhulu ukusuka ekubeni mahle kakhulu ukuya ekubeni mahle kakhulu, kwaye kanye xa ndandicinga ukuba amaxabiso awanakuqhubeka, anyuka.
Ngokwedatha yeemoto ezisetyenzisiweyo, amaxabiso efandesi yeemoto ezisetyenzisiweyo eMelika anyuke nge-8.3% ngo-Epreli xa kuthelekiswa noMatshi, enyuke nge-20% kunyaka-mali, nge-54% ukusukela ngo-Epreli 2020 kunye ne-40% ukusukela ngo-Epreli 2019. Isalathisi sexabiso esipapashwe namhlanje ngumqhubi wefandesi iManheim, inkampani engaphantsi kweCox Automotive. Yonke into ixubene kwimarike yeemoto ezisetyenzisiweyo:
Kwiinyanga ezili-13 ukuya kuSeptemba ka-2009, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwaphulwa ngokupheleleyo kukunyuka okukhulu kwangaphambili, kuquka nesicwangciso sokuhlawula imali esisusa isizukulwana sonke seemoto ezindala ezilungisekayo kwimarike.
Abathengisi abathenga iimoto kwifandesi ukuze bazalise uluhlu lwabo bajongene nokunikezelwa okuncinci kwaye abanye abathengisi abaninzi babhida kwiimoto ezifanayo. Ngoko ke baqalekisa ngaphakathi, banyusa amaxabiso ukuze bafumane ubuncinane ukunikezelwa, kwaye banethemba lokuba banokudlulisela la maxabiso angaqhelekanga kunye nenzuzo enkulu kubathengi. Amaxabiso eevenkile adla ngokuba phantsi kwamaxabiso e-wholesale malunga neeveki ezintandathu.
Abathengi bazimisele ukuhlawula la maxabiso angaqhelekanga kunokuba baqalise umlo: Uqikelelo lweCox Automotive lokuthengisa iimoto ezisetyenzisiweyo lunyuke lwaya kwi-22.4 yezigidi ezihlengahlengisiweyo ngokwexesha lonyaka ngo-Epreli. UStemis wenze intlawulo yokuqala egqibeleleyo.
Ingqondo yam ithi ukuqhuma okunjalo akunakuqhubeka. Ukuba abathengi bayathandabuza ngala maxabiso baze babize ugwayimbo lwabathengi, emva kokuba olu khuthazo luphelile kwaye la maxabiso angaqhelekanga ehlile, abathengisi baya kuhlala bethenga into ebiza kakhulu - isibambiso sokuxhasa isicwangciso sabo somgangatho - ukuba oko kunokubangela ingxolo ngokwenza njalo.
Ngokutsho kweCox Automotive, impahla ethengiswa ngobuninzi ekupheleni kuka-Epreli yehle yaya kwiintsuku ezili-17 zokuthengisa, ngelixa iintsuku ezingama-23 zokuhanjiswa ziqhelekile. Impahla ethengiswayo yeemoto ezisetyenzisiweyo ziintsuku ezingama-33, xa kuthelekiswa neentsuku ezingama-44 eziqhelekileyo.
Imbewu yeengxaki zokubonelela ngeemoto ezisetyenzisiweyo yahlwayelwa kunyaka ophelileyo xa ishishini lokuqeshisa iimoto lawa kwaye iinkampani zokuqeshisa iimoto zanciphisa iinqwelo zazo ngokuthengisa iimoto ezikhoyo nokunciphisa iiodolo zeemoto ezintsha. Ezi zokugqibela zathintela ukungena kweemoto ezintsha kwiinqwelo zokuqeshisa kunyaka ophelileyo nakulo nyaka.
Kodwa ngoku ishishini lokuqeshisa liyaphucuka njengoko abantu beqala ukuhamba kwakhona kwaye neemoto zokuqeshisa zinqongophele.
Ukunqongophala kobonelelo kunzima ukukulungisa ngoku, njengoko ukunqongophala kwe-semiconductor kuchaphazele abenzi beemoto ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka. Bavale iifektri baza barhoxisa iishifti; bakwenza kwaba yinto ephambili ukuvelisa iimoto eziphezulu ukuze balungise ilahleko ngamanani. IFord ibhengeze ukuba imveliso yayo yehlabathi inokwehla ngama-50% kwikota yesibini. Phantsi kwezi meko, ukuthengiswa kweemoto eziqeshiswayo ezinengeniso ephantsi kuyekisiwe. Iimoto eziqeshiswayo ziye zasokola ukufumana iimoto ezintsha.
I-Avis ilumkisile kwingxelo yayo yekota ye-10-Q eya kwi-SEC ngomhla wesi-4 kuCanzibe ukuba ayinakufumana izithuthi ezaneleyo zeenqwelo-mafutha zayo:
"Sijongene nemingcipheko enxulumene nababoneleli beemoto, kuquka ukunqongophala kobonelelo lwee-semiconductor kwihlabathi liphela."
“Ngenxa yezizathu ezahlukeneyo, kuquka ukuvalwa kwezakhiwo zemveliso okanye ezinye izizathu, siye sabona kwaye sinokufumana ukulibaziseka okongezelelweyo ekufumaneni izithuthi ezintsha ezivela kubenzi beemoto.
“Ngokukodwa, ukunqongophala kwee-semiconductor kwihlabathi liphela kunempembelelo enkulu kumashishini amaninzi, ingakumbi kushishino lweemoto, nto leyo echaphazela abenzi beemoto abaninzi abasinika izithuthi.”
“Umzekelo, ezinye iifektri zeemoto eMntla Melika nakwamanye amazwe ziye zamisa okanye zanciphisa imveliso yeemoto ngenxa yokunqongophala kwee-semiconductors ezisetyenziswa ekwenzeni iimoto.”
"Ngenxa yoko, ukunqongophala kwezixhobo ze-semiconductor kuye kwaba nefuthe, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba kuqhubeke, ekuthunyelweni kwezithuthi ezintsha, nto leyo enokwenza kube nzima ukuhlangabezana neemfuno zabathengi."
Ezinye iinqanawa zokuqeshisa zijongene nengxaki efanayo: abavelisi abaneengxaki ezinkulu zokudibanisa iimoto ngenxa yokunqongophala kwee-semiconductors bazibeka kwindawo yokuqala.
Kwiinyanga ezine zokuqala zika-2021, intengiso yeenqwelo-mafutha yehle ngama-48% ukusuka kwi-693,000 ngo-2019 ukuya kwi-360,000 kulo nyaka, xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo ngo-2019, ngokutsho kwe-Car Rental News.
Iimoto eziqeshiswayo ngoku zigcina iimoto zazo ixesha elide kwaye zizibeka kwifandesi ngeemayile eziphezulu. Ngokutsho kukaCox, imayile ephakathi yeemoto eziqeshiswayo ezisemngciphekweni ezithengiswa kwifandesi kwiminyaka yakutshanje (ezo moto zingekho kwinkqubo yokuthenga kwakhona yomenzi) uninzi lwazo luphakathi kweekhilomitha ezingama-40,000 kunye nama-50,000. Kodwa ngoMatshi, imayile ephakathi inyuke ngeekhilomitha ezili-12,000 ukuya kwiekhilomitha ezingama-67,000 ukusuka kwimayile esele iphezulu ngoFebruwari. Ngo-Epreli, imayile ephakathi inyuke yaya kwi-82800!
Nangona ukunyuka okukhulu kweekhilomitha, ixabiso eliqhelekileyo lala magumbi omngcipheko aqeshisiweyo - yiloo ndlela imakethi engaqhelekanga ngayo - linyuke ngama-32% unyaka nonyaka.
Iimoto eziqeshiswayo ngoku zezona zithenga kakhulu kwiifandesi, nto leyo eyongeza uxinzelelo lwamaxabiso. Bahlala bethenga iimoto rhoqo kwiifandesi ukuze bahlangabezane neemfuno zasekuhlaleni, oku akunto intsha. Kodwa ngoku kuyenzeka ngomlinganiselo omkhulu.
“Iqela lethu lokuThenga iiFleet lisebenza nzima ekufumaneni izithuthi ezingakumbi, ezintsha nezilula, ezisetyenzisiweyo kuzo zonke iindlela ukuhlangabezana neemfuno ezikhulayo,” utshilo uBloomberg kwingxelo.
Isithethi seHertz sixelele iBloomberg ukuba inkampani “ithenga izithuthi ezisetyenzisiweyo ezikhawulezayo kwiindawo ezahlukeneyo, kuquka iifandesi, iifandesi ezikwi-intanethi, abathengisi kunye neenkqubo zokuqeshisa izithuthi.”
Kwicala labathengi kwishishini labo, iimoto eziqeshisayo zenza utyani xa ilanga likhanya kwaye zonyusa irenti kwimarike apho kunokwenzeka khona—oko kongeza ipetroli kumlilo wokunyuka kwamaxabiso, uqikelele.
Yonwabela ukufunda i-WOLF STREET kwaye ufuna ukuyixhasa? Sebenzisa isixhobo sokuthintela intengiso - ndiyaqonda ngokupheleleyo ukuba kutheni - kodwa ufuna ukuxhasa le ndawo? Unganikela. Ndiyabulela kakhulu. Cofa kwiikomityi zeti zebhiya kunye neti ezibandayo ukuze ufunde indlela yokwenza oku:
Ukuze ndikubonise indlela engaqhelekanga ngayo ukuba ndinemoto yam eneminyaka engama-20 ubudala i-Infiniti engaphumi egaraji kangangeminyaka kwaye amasela abanjwe yiGPS. Abo babandakanyekayo bathi ukubiwa kweemoto kuphindwe kabini ngo-2021.
Ndiqinisekile ukuba ukuba i-US ibingayinyusa iminyaka yayo iye kuma-30, bekuya kubakho iimoto ezininzi ezisetyenzisiweyo ezilungele ukungeniswa.![]()
Ndineminyaka engama-65 ubudala kwaye abazali bam basaphila. Banemoto ekhawulezayo nelori ekhawulezayo. Zombini ziya kuba zelifa okanye zithengiswe. Oku kubonakala kuyinto eqhelekileyo njengoko abantwana abazalwa emva kokuzalwa kwenkwenkwe bekhula.
Lithetha “umthengisi”, njengakwiimoto ezisetyenzisiweyo zikaJoe, hayi umthengisi weFord owawusebenzela, kuba kubonakala ngathi bashiya izinto ezilungileyo apho ukuze zithengiswe kwakhona, akunjalo? Mhlawumbi umthengisi/umthengisi I-SHIP yintetho engaqhelekanga endiyiphosileyo apha? Ngaba abanye abathengisi nabo kufuneka bathenge i-deficit kwi-fandesi? Ndicinga ukuba le yingxaki yam yokwenyani (ngeli xesha ndilifunde kabini eli nqaku). Kwakhona ekuqaleni kweminyaka yoo-80, ndaya kwi-fandesi nomnye umntu one-“permit yokungena/yokuthenga” kunye noyise. Bathenga umphambili nomva werabha epheleleyo baza bayibilisa kunye njengenye yeendlela zabo. Kwintsimi enkulu enodaka ejikeleze iSears Point IIRC. (Bathenge baza balungisa iHonda 500 4 eyonakeleyo). Ngoko ke umbuzo wesibini ngulo, ngaba i-fandesi othetha ngayo ayibonakali, okanye ngaba ababhidi bahambahamba ezindleleni? Iimoto ezininzi zikwimeko entle, zinothuli nje.
Abathengisi abathenga kwifandesi ngabathengisi abazimeleyo okanye abathengisi abane-franchise, okanye nabani na omnye ovunyelwe ukuthengwa kwifandesi.
Ayizizo iminyaka engama-30, kodwa yiminyaka engama-25. Amanye amazwe anezinye iimfuno ezahlukeneyo. Nantsi ingcaciso: https://usacustomclearance.com/process/guide-to-importing-cars-to-usa/
Enkosi Mike Le yindawo entle kakhulu endinokongeza kuyo kwingqokelela yam ekhulayo yezixhobo. Nokuba kunjalo, ndifumene impendulo ye-CA endandiyilindele.
EWashington, inani lokubiwa kweemoto linyuke kakhulu. Intengiso ekufutshane nebhasi yesitimela esingaphantsi komhlaba ithi: “Xa utsiba, ziyatsiba” (into efana naleyo). Iimoto azifani kangako, ziimoto nje eziqhelekileyo. Ndifunde inqaku kwi-NPR (ndifunde i-NPR) elalisithi nee-catalytic converters zingenza imali kwiimoto ezindala. Eyona nto yoyikisayo kukuba ndabanjwa ndinobuso obufana nobomntwana obufana nobomntwana. Mhlawumbi nje ngenxa yohambo okanye ucwangciso lokuthunyelwa eMexico City. Ngubani owaziyo mnumzana?
Cobalt, iiCATS zibiwe kwiDC kangangeminyaka, hayi indlela enomdla ngayo kwikomkhulu lelizwe lethu. Ngaba ukhe waphawula utshintsho kumaxabiso eplatinum kunye nepalladium kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo? Ndingathanda ukuba ndizithengile!
Ubusela be-DWY CAT phantse bube lulwaphulo-mthetho "lorhwebo". Bakhuphisana ukubona ukuba ngubani onokubakhupha ngokukhawuleza ngesixhobo sokugawula i-engile esisebenza ngebhetri kunye nengalo ende. Qagela "intshatsheli" yangoku kwimizuzwana eli-10 ukusuka ekuqaleni ukuya ekupheleni!
Iikati zanamhlanje “ziinxantathu”. Zazisebenzisa i-rhodium (mhlawumbi i-cerium ngeminyaka yoo-90) kunye neplatinum kunye ne-palladium ukwenza ulandelelwano lweekhemikhali oluntsonkothileyo kakhulu. Ndicinga ukuba iikati ezibiweyo zanyibilikiswa kuphela ngenxa yemali, ngenxa yesakhiwo sazo esintsonkothileyo se-ceramic honeycomb. Njengeendawo ezingasetyenziswayo zixabiseke ngakumbi. Zintsha zibiza ukusuka kwi-1000 ukuya kwi-2000 yeedola nangaphezulu. Ngokucacileyo, iimoto ezintsha zinokubiwa kwiimoto ezingcono, kwaye ii-hybrids nazo ziyathandwa kuba zidlula ipetroli encinci kakhulu kuzo.
Ezi ziindleko zentlalo zokungalingani okukhulu kwingeniso kunye nexabiso elipheleleyo… lindela okungakumbi njengoko izinto zisiba mandundu. “Irhafu yoluntu” egqithisileyo. Ngelishwa, amaqela ahlwempuzekileyo kuluntu, angenako ukuba neflethi okanye indlu enegaraji, ahlupheka kakhulu, nto leyo eyenza ingxaki ibe mandundu.
IiCatalyst kwindawo endihlala kuyo ziyaqhubeka nokuba. Nabani na onemoto efana neyam (iHonda CRV 2000) kufuneka enze uhlahlo-lwabiwo mali lwemoto entsha.
Kwiveki ephelileyo, umntu endisebenza naye wabiwa iveni yakhe eyonakeleyo eyayisisithixo kwindawo yakhe kangangeminyaka eli-15. Okwangoku ayisebenzi.
Oku kuyaphambana, ummelwane wam wayebiwe i-F150 yakhe eneminyaka eli-15 ubudala kwinyanga ephelileyo ngelixa wayekwihambo oluya eHome Depot. Amaxabiso aphezulu eemoto ezisetyenzisiweyo enze ukuba amasela abe nesibindi.
Ukongeza, akunakwenzeka ukuba umntu ongengomsebenzi wezobugcisa abe iHyundai. Ndicinga ukuba yingakho ilori eneminyaka eli-15 ubudala enexabiso eliphezulu lokuthengiswa kwakhona iyeyona nto iphambili ekujoliswe kuyo.
Ewe, emini ebanzi. Into ehlekisayo kukuba amapolisa ayithathile ingxelo aze axelele abamelwane bam ukuba nokuba banokubabamba, isela liza kufumana isohlwayo kwaye yiyo loo nto.
Kubonakala ngathi yintlekisa, kodwa akunjalo. Khawuthelekelele ukuba ubungumqambi nje oqala umsebenzi kwaye unelori endala kwaye ngequbuliso yabiwa kwaye indlela yakho yokuphila yaphela.
Isixhobo esilungileyo "sokulwa nobusela" kwimoto endala yi-switch coil kunye neentambo ze-plug kwikhava yomsasazi (sithetha ngeemoto ezindala apha). Ayizukuqalisa. Ukuba uphakamisa i-hood, ibonakala "iqhelekile". Ayikhululekanga, ewe. Kodwa iyasebenza.
USlim Jim ukho kuyo yonke indawo, uyakwazi ukusebenzisa izinto ezininzi kwaye kulula ukuzifunda. Kwakhona, ndibe izixhobo zebhetri kwiNissan ka-'92 (engenazo iifestile ezisecaleni, zazikhaphukhaphu kakhulu) ndaza ndaphula iifestile. Kwigaraji ephantsi kweflethi yam nakwisakhiwo esikhulu. Mhlawumbi babeke ibhegi enkulu yokulala kuyo ukuze bathulise ingxolo? Kusenokwenzeka ukuba ngumhlali ofanelekileyo. Abantu abaphelelwe lithemba benza izinto ezingafunekiyo nangona kunjalo, kwaye ndiyaqiniseka ukuba uninzi "lweengcali" lufuna ukuqala amaphupha abo aseMelika kwaye kufuneka nje longe imali. Umoya woburhwebi...
Andikaqondi ukuba ukungabikho konyuso lwemivuzo ukuze kufudumale uqoqosho kunokukhokelela njani ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso. Konke oku kumalunga nokubonelela ngeenkonzo kunye nemfuno, nto leyo engaqhelekanga yexeshana.
Mna ngokwam, ndibona oku njengomgibe omkhulu wenkunzi. Umhlambi ubaleka uye kwi-inflation/reflation/new cycle ngaphambi kokuba uphele kwi-deflation embi kakhulu... onke amatyala e-sovereign angashicilelwa "njengoncedo"... kwaye ibhanki ephakathi ityebile kakhulu/ithenga izinto ngamaxabiso aphantsi kakhulu.
I-Global Crossing yayingumboneleli wezonxibelelwano lwamazwe ngamazwe owaphelelwa yimali kwiminyaka engama-20 eyadlulayo waza wathengwa zizinambuzane eziqhelekileyo. Unxibelelwano olukhawulezileyo nolungabizi kakhulu lonxibelelwano eIndiya lwavelisa ishishini leziko leefowuni laseIndiya. Kwaye nokuwa kweziko leefowuni laseMelika.
Umjikelo weshishini "wendalo" utshabalalisa abatyali-mali abangenalwazi, utyebisa iintsholongwane, kwaye unciphisa imisebenzi. Kodwa luhlobo oluthile lomthetho wezoqoqosho ukuba izityebi zitye okuseleyo njengomxhuzulane, ngoko ke konke kulungile.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Agasti-29-2022
